Social Democrats hit lowest polling of term in new survey

Sweden’s Social Democrats have fallen to 31.6% support in Verian’s June poll for SVT, their lowest figure since the 2022 election and no longer significantly above their result from that vote, according to Verian’s Per Söderpalm.

The survey shows the opposition Left and Green parties gaining ground, with the Left at 8.7% (up 0.8 points since May) and the Greens at 7.8%. Both now poll significantly above their 2022 results, driven by strong support among women, young voters, and in major urban areas, Söderpalm said.

With three months until the election, the opposition bloc leads the government and Sweden Democrats by 9.4 percentage points, a slight but not statistically significant narrowing from May.

The Christian Democrats are the only government-aligned party to rise, reaching 6%—their best showing since June 2022—largely at the expense of the Moderates. The Moderates, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats remain largely unchanged, with the Liberals still far below the parliamentary threshold at 2%.

Undecided voters account for 15.4% of respondents, a group Söderpalm noted includes many women and young voters. In 2022, this cohort leaned slightly toward the government bloc.

The Verian poll for SVT is based on about 3,000 interviews with participants aged 18–84 from its Sifo panel, supplemented by phone interviews with those 85 and older. The response rate is around 40%, with results weighted for demographic representativeness.