Revolution or departure of Putin seen as only paths for change in Russia, says Vesikko

Change in Russia’s governance is seen as achievable only through a revolution or the natural departure of Vladimir Putin, according to Irina Vesikko, head of the Finnish Russian-speaking democratic community. She suggests that a collapse of the Russian regime could occur in as little as three days, especially if the war in Ukraine significantly undermines the Russian economy.

Vesikko argues that the population might grow increasingly hostile towards Putin, leading to a critical turning point. However, meaningful revolution would require a clear division within both the elite and the populace, including support from Russian soldiers advocating for peace in Ukraine.

A more realistic and peaceful transition of power could occur with Putin’s demise, though Vesikko concedes that this outcome may not be the most favorable. She expresses a desire for a quicker resolution, as waiting a decade for change could severely impact ordinary citizens who suffer under the current regime, especially those living in exile without a normal life.

Vesikko emphasizes that a change in leadership does not equate to an entirely new system; the environment created by Putin would persist, necessitating the engagement of police and judges in a potential opposition front. Meanwhile, those guilty of crimes should face justice.

At a recent event in Rovaniemi, discussions included the threat of hybrid attacks from Russia, notably following the severing of two telecommunications cables in the Baltic Sea. While the possibility of Russian sabotage was acknowledged, participants cautioned against making allegations without clear evidence, highlighting the complexity of geopolitical tensions.