Sweden’s governing coalition loses male voters as opposition widens lead

A new opinion poll by public broadcaster SVT and research firm Verian shows Sweden’s governing Tidö parties losing support among male voters, while the opposition red-green bloc extends its lead to 10.7 percentage points—the largest gap since August 2023.

The Tidö coalition—a centre-right alliance of the Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Sweden Democrats—has dropped 1.5 percentage points since February, with statistically significant losses among men. Support among male Tidö voters fell by 4 percentage points in May alone, according to Verian’s opinion chief Per Söderpalm.

“Voter shifts are moving toward both the opposition and non-voting, as well as parties outside parliament,” Söderpalm said.

Meanwhile, the opposition bloc of Social Democrats, Left Party, Greens, and Centre Party now leads by 10.7 points, bolstered by gains in the Stockholm region, where red-green support surpasses the Tidö parties by nearly 15 points. The Green Party saw the sharpest rise, climbing 1.8 points to 7.9 percent, while the Centre Party fell 1.3 points.

Gender divides deepen as female voters increasingly undecided
The poll also reveals growing uncertainty among women, with nearly 20 percent now undecided—up significantly since April. Opposition parties, however, are gaining ground with male voters.

“While opposition support rises among men, we see a growing share of women not committing to any party,” Söderpalm noted.

The survey, conducted April 27–May 10, included roughly 3,000 interviews with participants aged 18–84 from Verian’s representative panel of 85,000 Swedes. Responses were weighted to reflect demographics such as gender, age, region, education, and past voting behaviour.