Ulf Kristersson marks two years as Prime Minister with support from Sweden Democrats in Sweden

Two years have passed since the Swedish Parliament voted to appoint Ulf Kristersson as Prime Minister. This marked the fulfillment of the mandate he received upon being elected party leader, but it would not have been possible without the support of the Sweden Democrats (SD). Thus far, the extensive contract-based parliamentary cooperation outlined in the Tidö Agreement has exceeded expectations. However, for SD, this arrangement is viewed as a temporary solution.

For SD, the next logical step is either continued government involvement or a return to opposition, depending on whether the Tidö parties secure a majority in the 2026 elections. It is highly plausible that both the Moderate Party (M) and the Christian Democrats (KD) would accept SD ministers if power is at stake. In contrast, the Liberals face a more complex situation. Adhering to their party conference decisions would prevent them from either collaborating with SD or allowing their rise to power.

The potential for contention is evident, regardless of which party emerges victorious. The opposition parties led by Magdalena Andersson are already displaying significant discord on key issues. This division is particularly clear in economic policy, where the Center Party advocates for tax cuts, conflicting with other partners. How Andersson will navigate a coalition-promise with both the Left and Green parties remains uncertain. This rift is likely to be capitalized on by the Tidö parties, as was done by Social Democrats in past elections.

With two years until the next elections, significant changes are possible, but voters hoping for clarity on future governmental coalitions may end up disappointed.