Iceland’s population projected to reach 560,000 by 2076

Iceland’s population is expected to grow from 394,000 at the start of 2026 to 560,000 by 2076, according to a Statistics Iceland forecast reported by mbl.is.

The forecast projects that the population will reach 500,000 in 25 years. There is an 80% probability that the population in 2076 will be between 400,000 and 770,000, Statistics Iceland said.

The share of residents aged 16 to 74 is expected to fall from 74% in 2025 to 67% in 2076. By 2046, people over 65 are projected to outnumber those under 20.