Opposition holds 10-point lead over Tidö parties in new poll
Monday 17th August 2026 on 22:45 in
Sweden
Sweden’s opposition leads the Tidö parties by 10 percentage points with less than a month to go before the election, according to SVT’s first Verian poll since June.
The Tidö parties, made up of M, SD, KD and L, receive a combined 43.9 percent of support, while the opposition parties S, MP, C and V receive 53.9 percent.
Verian’s head of polling, Per Söderpalm, said there were no previous examples of a bloc managing to make up such a gap in such a short time.
The opposition’s advantage is even larger when projected into parliamentary seats, with 196 seats compared with 153 for the Tidö parties. The Liberals receive 1.9 percent and fall below the parliamentary threshold, meaning they would win no seats in the projection.
The Centre Party is the biggest gainer in the poll, rising from 5.4 percent in June to 8 percent in August. The party has not recorded such a high level of support in Verian’s polls since November 2021, when Annie Lööf was its leader.
Centre Party leader Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist has campaigned during the summer on the message that the party would ensure policies did not move too far to the left if the opposition wins the election. Söderpalm said the message that the Centre Party wants to be the opposition’s liberal voice may have appealed to some centrist voters.
How the poll was conducted
Verian’s poll is based on around 3,000 completed interviews with people in the Sifo panel, which is recruited through random nationally representative samples. The panel has around 85,000 participants.
The sample covers people aged 18 to 84. The survey was supplemented by telephone interviews with people aged 85 and over. Respondents were asked which party they would vote for if there were an election today.
The response rate was around 40 percent. Respondents were checked to ensure they represented different demographic groups by gender, age, region, education and party preference in the previous election. The poll was conducted from August 3 to 16, 2026.