Swedish opposition bloc leads ruling parties by 12.6 points in latest poll

Sweden’s opposition bloc holds a clear lead over the ruling Tidö parties, according to Statistics Sweden’s (SCB) annual party sympathy survey published Thursday by public broadcaster SVT.

The combined support for the Social Democrats, Left Party, Greens, and Centre Party stands at 55.2 percent, compared to 42.6 percent for the Tidö bloc—Moderates, Sweden Democrats, Christian Democrats, and Liberals—marking a 12.6-point gap.

All Tidö parties, including the Centre Party, show a decline compared to their 2022 election results. The Liberals, at 2.5 percent, fall well below the 4 percent threshold required for parliamentary representation, down from 2.8 percent in SCB’s 2025 survey.

The poll reflects voter sentiment as if a general election were held in May 2026.